HomeWorldOne Wrong Move: Can Pakistan Avoid a War It Can’t Win?

One Wrong Move: Can Pakistan Avoid a War It Can’t Win?

After cross-border strikes, drone chaos, and civilian casualties, Islamabad stands at a crossroads—with the world watching and escalation a breath away.


By Joe D. | May 9, 2025, 11:58 PM IST

A Stressful Night in the Subcontinent

Thursday night came with a ghostly feeling of déjà vu. Towns all across India’s northern border were blacked out. Sirens screamed. Civilians ran for cover. Reports of military plane sightings, cross-border shelling, and drone activity trickled in—each one pushing two nuclear-armed neighbors closer to the brink.

Shelling from across the Line of Control claimed 16 civilians, including women and children, during 36 hours in border cities such Uri and Baramulla, India said. Air raid sirens in Ambala screamed for about 30 minutes following the activation of alarms by unknown flying object.

The Drones, The Denials, and The Dangers

Indian defense authorities verified several attempted drone attacks close to Jammu military sites. Though Pakistan has denied aiming against Indian bases, India is still not convinced. Visiting impacted communities, Chief Minister Omar Abdullah termed the attacks “reckless” and cautioned of more retribution.

Pakistan’s military, on the other hand, claimed to have shot down Indian planes and charged Delhi with “aggressive provocation.” Neither side has offered credible evidence; social media is overrun with unsubstantiated recordings from both sides.

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Economic Panic Begins

Friday morning witnessed quick market response. Early trading saw the Nifty 50 down more than 200 points and the BSE Sensex down more than 600. While general investor confidence fell, defense stocks soared.

“Markets despise war and this seems too near for comfort,” said Priya Nambiar, a financial expert in Mumbai. Monday will be worse if events escalate over the weekend.

Major currencies suffered a minor decline in the Indian rupee, while oil prices rose somewhat in response to concerns about regional disturbance.

No Class, No Peace

All schools in Kashmir stay closed. Emergency services are on high alert. Civilian accounts from border communities tell of days under a nervous calm and nights spent in bunkers.

“Our kids have not slept. Living under unrelenting dread of what follows next,” Zainab Mir, a Uri inhabitant, remarked.

Diplomatic Void

So yet, world leaders have only issued tepid comments calling for moderation. Preoccupied with Ukraine and Asia-Pacific concerns, the United States has not engaged in direct diplomatic interaction. Though no clear mediation has appeared, China and the Gulf states have called for calm.

“This is a dangerous moment not only because of the weapons involved but also because of the lack of serious diplomacy,” Dr. Sanjay Rao, an international affairs expert, stated.

What Will Pakistan Do Next?

The choices for Islamabad are getting limited. While nationalist voices call for a forceful reaction, world markets, diplomatic credibility, and military parity provide warning signs.

Any attack today could set off a total war neither side can pay. Still, the public discourse on both sides is getting more pointed.

Commentary: Fire Play

The leadership of Pakistan is teetering on a razor’s edge. At home, it struggles with political pressure and economic weakness. Internationally, if perceived as the aggressor, it runs isolation. But, one can interpret retreating as weakness.

The oldest trap in global conflict is pride against caution.

Last Word

One false move—one undetected drone, one wayward missile—could plunge South Asia into a war that would scar the area for decades.

The globe is not only watching. It’s breathless.

Joe D.
Joe D.http://nbprime.com
Joe D. is a journalist at NBPrime.com, covering U.S. politics, global conflict, and breaking news with clarity and edge. Follow the headlines—connect with me on X.

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